Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2113 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

AA 2113 · DFW → PHX

departs 1:40 PM CT · arrives 2:08 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±6 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.32 in

PHX (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2113 · DFW → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?