Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2166 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2166 · DFW → IAH

departs 9:44 AM CT · arrives 10:57 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.45 in

IAH (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2166 · DFW → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?