Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2236 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2236 · DFW → ONT

departs 6:50 PM CT · arrives 7:59 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

75% chance · ±0 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ONT?

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
36%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.36 in

ONT (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2236 · DFW → ONT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ONT?