AA 2265 · DFW → AMA

took off 9:52 PM CT · landed 10:43 PM CT (scheduled 9:29 PM CT → 10:55 PM CT)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AMA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at AMA that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ AMA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

AMA (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2265 · DFW → AMA

Odds over time

How late did it get to AMA?