Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2304 LANDED 10:09 PM CT, ~17 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

AA 2304 · ICT → DFW

took off 9:11 PM CT · landed 10:09 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ICT that day

Weather at each end

ICT (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

DFW (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2304 · ICT → DFW

Odds over time