Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2314 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 2314 · DFW → PNS

departs 4:22 PM CT · arrives 6:13 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±6 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PNS?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
14%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.57 in

PNS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.69 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2314 · DFW → PNS

Odds over time

How late will it get to PNS?