Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2360 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2360 · PHL → RDU

departs 3:06 PM ET · arrives 4:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ RDU usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at RDU that day

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

RDU (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2360 · PHL → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?