Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2361 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 2361 · DFW → RDU

departs 2:50 PM CT · arrives 6:38 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±9 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.83 in

RDU (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2361 · DFW → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?