Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2374 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 2374 · DFW → SAT

departs 4:37 PM CT · arrives 5:49 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±8 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
18%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip1.09 in

SAT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.70 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2374 · DFW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?