Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2387 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

AA 2387 · SFO → DFW

departs 2:03 PM PT · arrives 7:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±9 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 46% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at SFO that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2387 · SFO → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?