Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2397 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2397 · PHL → CMH

departs 3:45 PM ET · arrives 5:31 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↑ 3pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CMH that day

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.46 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2397 · PHL → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?