Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2408 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2408 · PHL → LAX

departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 1:46 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts +21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from PHL are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at LAX that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2408 · PHL → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?