Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2510SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AA 2510 · SBA → DFW
departs 12:39 PM PT · arrives 6:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
62%chance · ±0 pts+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
27%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.