Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2571 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 2571 · PHL → RSW

departs 8:00 PM ET · arrives 10:57 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 8pm departures from PHL are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ RSW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

RSW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2571 · PHL → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?