tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2585 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2585 · PHX → PHL

departs 11:05 PM MT · arrives 6:39 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
31% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.2d 2d 1d 12h 6h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    69%
  2. 15–30 min late
    20%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.