Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2610 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 2610 · PHL → SLC

departs 7:54 PM ET · arrives 11:08 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at PHL that day

↑ 7pm departures from PHL are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.07 in

SLC (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2610 · PHL → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?