Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2617 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 2617 · IAD → DFW

departs 6:14 AM ET · arrives 8:35 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

DFW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.57 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2617 · IAD → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?