Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2714 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2714 · PHL → STL

departs 3:24 PM ET · arrives 5:02 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↑ 3pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

STL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,167 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2714 · PHL → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?