Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2720 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2720 · PHL → STL

departs 9:00 AM ET · arrives 10:35 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at STL that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into STL at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2720 · PHL → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?