Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2761 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2761 · DFW → STL

departs 6:02 PM CT · arrives 7:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±6 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.49 in

STL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2761 · DFW → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?