Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2780 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 2780 · ORD → SLC

departs 1:33 PM CT · arrives 4:03 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↓ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at ORD that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precip0.17 in

SLC (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2780 · ORD → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?