Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2818 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2818 · DFW → CLE

departs 10:01 AM CT · arrives 1:43 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±2 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CLE that day

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.53 in

CLE (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.87 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2818 · DFW → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?