tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2845 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AA 2845 · LGA → TPA

departs 4:00 PM ET · arrives 7:04 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
46% chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 3.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to TPA?

  1. On time or early
    53%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    20%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    14%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.