tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2867 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2867 · ORD → TUS

departs 10:00 AM CT · arrives 11:45 AM MT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Arrive at TUS more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±0 pts −16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 3.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to TUS?

  1. On time or early
    71%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.