Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2876 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 2876 · TYS → DFW

departs 5:31 PM ET · arrives 7:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±4 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.57 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2876 · TYS → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?