Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2882 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 2882 · PHL → BOS

departs 12:50 PM ET · arrives 2:23 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±0 pts +31 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from PHL are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2882 · PHL → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?