Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2946 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 2946 · DFW → FLL

departs 6:55 PM CT · arrives 10:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

51% chance · ±6 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 2.1 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.83 in

FLL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2946 · DFW → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?