Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3048 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 3048 · AMA → DFW

departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 7:27 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
23%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ AMA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from AMA are usually not late

Weather at each end

AMA (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.02 in

DFW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3048 · AMA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?