Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3068 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 3068 · LGA → DFW

departs 10:00 AM ET · arrives 12:54 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±8 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3068 · LGA → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?