Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3072 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 3072 · DFW → SFO

departs 5:52 PM CT · arrives 7:39 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SFO that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.06 in

SFO (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3072 · DFW → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?