Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3097 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 3097 · DFW → SAT

departs 9:56 PM CT · arrives 11:04 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

67% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.11 in

SAT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.76 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3097 · DFW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?