Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3134 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 3134 · LAX → ORD

departs 1:16 PM PT · arrives 7:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3134 · LAX → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?