tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3170 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 3170 · ORD → EWR

departs 6:42 AM CT · arrives 10:00 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±2 pts +5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 3.4d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    83%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.