Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3275 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

AA 3275 · DFW → XNA

departs 10:04 AM CT · arrives 11:19 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts −18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to XNA?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into XNA at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

XNA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.54 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3275 · DFW → XNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to XNA?