Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3276 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 3276 · LAX → PHL

departs 10:46 PM PT · arrives 7:00 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 10pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are usually not late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3276 · LAX → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?