Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 413 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

AA 413 · DFW → SAT

departs 9:00 AM CT · arrives 10:08 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SAT that day

↓ Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.04 in

SAT (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.67 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 413 · DFW → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?