Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 474
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 474 · DFW → PHX
departs 7:08 AM CT · arrives 7:34 AM MT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to PHX?
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On time or early
60%
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15–30 min late
15%
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30 min–1 hour late
12%
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1–2 hours late
4%
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Over 2 hours late
5%
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Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.