tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 554 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 554 · DFW → PHX

departs 3:34 PM CT · arrives 3:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
42% chance · ±4 pts +14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 3.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    57%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    21%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.