Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 554
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 554 · PHX → DFW
departs 9:30 AM MT · arrives 2:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±6 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to DFW?
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On time or early
69%
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15–30 min late
6%
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30 min–1 hour late
16%
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1–2 hours late
5%
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Over 2 hours late
3%
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Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.