Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 574 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 574 · DFW → BUF

departs 6:45 PM CT · arrives 10:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±5 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
29%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.57 in

BUF (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 574 · DFW → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?