Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 650 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 650 · LAX → CLE

departs 10:00 AM PT · arrives 5:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at CLE that day

↑ Arrivals into CLE at that hour are often late

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.61 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 650 · LAX → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?