Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 695 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

AA 695 · FLL → PHL

departs 2:39 PM ET · arrives 5:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 63h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ 2pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7.33333 mi Precip0.23 in

PHL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 695 · FLL → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?