Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 763 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 763 · AUS → JFK

departs 11:02 AM CT · arrives 3:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.22 in

JFK (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 763 · AUS → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?