Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 763 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 763 · AUS → JFK

departs 11:02 AM CT · arrives 3:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 2.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are usually not late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.34 in

JFK (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 763 · AUS → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?