tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 769 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 769 · ORD → PHX

departs 7:25 AM CT · arrives 9:09 AM MT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
24% chance · ±1 pts +9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 3.4d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.