Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 812 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 812 · PHL → DFW

departs 9:07 AM ET · arrives 11:45 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

DFW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.83 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 812 · PHL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?