Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 867 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AA 867 · TUL → DFW

departs 6:01 AM CT · arrives 7:25 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at TUL that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from TUL are usually not late

Weather at each end

TUL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.23 in

DFW (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.57 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 867 · TUL → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?