Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 928 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

AA 928 · DFW → ABQ

departs 9:09 AM CT · arrives 9:59 AM MT

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into ABQ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.45 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 928 · DFW → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?