Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1004
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 1004 · LIH → HNL
departs 6:00 AM HT · arrives 6:36 AM HT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 15h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to HNL?
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On time or early
88%
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15–30 min late
4%
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30 min–1 hour late
2%
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1–2 hours late
2%
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Over 2 hours late
<1%
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Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.