Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1064 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

AS 1064 · LIH → HNL

departs 11:58 AM HT · arrives 12:37 PM HT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±4 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at LIH that day

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↓ LIH usually runs smoothly

↓ 11am departures from LIH are usually not late

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.69 in

HNL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1064 · LIH → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?