Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1347 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

AS 1347 · FAI → ANC

departs 2:25 PM AKT · arrives 3:32 PM AKT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FAI

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ FAI usually runs smoothly

↓ 2pm departures from FAI are usually not late

Weather at each end

FAI (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

ANC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1347 · FAI → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?